Division of Health Economics and
Policy, The National Institute of Public Health (INSP), Universidad 655,
Cuernavaca, Mexico.
As funding mechanisms like the Global Fund for
HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria increasingly make funding decisions
on the basis of burden of disease estimates and financial need calculations,
the importance of reliable and comparable estimating methods is growing.
This paper presents a model for estimating HIV/AIDS health care resource
needs in low- and middle-income countries. The model presented was the
basis for the United Nations' call for US$ 9.2 billion to address HIV/AIDS
in developing countries by 2005 with US$ 4.4 billion to address HIV/AIDS
health care and the rest to deal with HIV/AIDS prevention. The model has
since been updated and extended to produce estimates for 2007. This paper
details the methods and assumptions used to estimate HIV/AIDS health care
financial needs and it discusses the limitations and data needs for this
model.
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